Resources for COVID

COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group (Dateline: 8 March 2020)

Confirming 8 April as peak in NHS hospitals (Dateline: 1 May 2020)

COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group (Dateline: 8 March 2020)

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Our group of actuaries, epidemiologists and longevity specialists have established a COVID-19 forum for actuaries/others to learn, educate, inform and influence in a positive/ constructive way. Our frequent Bulletins address many aspects from demography, epidemiology, public health and societal impact   

Predicting COVID-19 deaths (Dateline: 1 May 2020)

Confirming 8 April as peak in NHS hospitals (Dateline: 1 May 2020)

COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group (Dateline: 8 March 2020)

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Actuarial chain ladder techniques from general insurance allow us to predict the number of deaths that occurred on any day from those reported each day.  Combining NHS England data with international estimates of deaths outside hospital, the number of UK deaths that should be attributed to COVID-19 was over  40,000 on 30 April.

Confirming 8 April as peak in NHS hospitals (Dateline: 1 May 2020)

Confirming 8 April as peak in NHS hospitals (Dateline: 1 May 2020)

Confirming 8 April as peak in NHS hospitals (Dateline: 1 May 2020)

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Using today's data set from NHS England, deaths in hospital have been falling consistently since 8 April. More recent data from ONS suggests the peak outside hospitals may be at least a week later.

Testing, testing, testing

Testing, testing, testing

Confirming 8 April as peak in NHS hospitals (Dateline: 1 May 2020)

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Vaccine development

Testing, testing, testing

Vaccine development

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Emerging treatments

Testing, testing, testing

Vaccine development

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